(18 Nov 2024)
RESTRICTION SUMMARY:
++PART MUTE++
ASSOCIATED PRESS
Kyiv, Ukraine – 18 November 2024
1. Various of CBA Initiatives Center analyst Glib Voloskyi talking to AP journalist
2. Close of map of Ukraine
3. SOUNDBITE (Ukrainian) Glib Voloskyi, analyst at CBA Initiatives Center:
"The actual impact on combat operations of this decision will depend on what additional restrictions will be imposed. If permission is granted for the entire territory of the Russian Federation, then it is obvious that, taking into account the element of surprise, Russia will withdraw its units, command posts, and logistics chains beyond the range of long-range weapons. But this decision has its price. Considering the fact that the range of logistics chains to units on the front line will increase, the ability of logistics to respond to the needs of the front in a timely manner will decrease accordingly, and the response time of Russian aviation to the specific combat needs of units will increase accordingly."
4. Close of hands ++MUTE++
5. SOUNDBITE (Ukrainian) Glib Voloskyi, analyst at CBA Initiatives Center:
"If this decision will include only the Kursk region, and accordingly, most likely, Russian units will be able to concentrate their command posts, logistics chains, as well as the air force in the Bryansk region, in the Belgorod region. Still increasing the logistical burden, but most likely not enough to create a significant advantage on the front line (for Ukrainian troops)."
6. Close of map of Ukraine
7. SOUNDBITE (Ukrainian) Glib Voloskyi, an analyst at CBA Initiatives Center:
"In large part, this is a signal the Biden administration is sending to North Korea and Russia that the decision to bring in North Korean units was a crossing of red lines that the Biden administration has set for itself. Accordingly, this is a sign that the further increase in the number of North Korean soldiers on the territory of Russia, and especially on the territory of Ukraine, may lead to further lifting of restrictions on the use of long-range weapons."
8. Close of hands
9. SOUNDBITE (Ukrainian) Glib Voloskyi, analyst at CBA Initiatives Center:
"This decision was indeed made late, much too late. For example, if it was adopted at the beginning of autumn, it could undermine the Russian counteroffensive in the Kursk region. If it had been accepted even earlier, it could have undermined Russian actions in the Vovchansk direction or disrupted their offensive in the Pokrovsk direction. At the moment, we can only hope that this will allow one way or another to stabilize the frontline in some areas. Depending on how strong these additional restrictions will be, about which there is currently no final information."
10. Wide of Voloskyi talking to AP journalist ++MUTE++
11. Close of map of Ukraine
STORYLINE:
A Ukrainian analyst suggested Monday that the effect of allowing long-range Western weapons to strike targets in Russia will depend on the rules set for their use.
If strikes are allowed across all of Russia, the lack of surprise means Russia will likely move its troops, command centers, and supply routes out of range of the western missiles, according to Glib Voloskyi, an analyst at the CBA Initiatives Center.
However, this would come with challenges. Longer distances between the front line and supply routes would slow down logistics, making it harder to meet the needs of soldiers quickly.
Russian air forces would also take longer to respond to battlefield demands.
In Ukraine, the news was met with cautious optimism, with many emphasizing that this decision is long overdue.
Find out more about AP Archive: http://www.aparchive.com/HowWeWork
Twitter: https://twitter.com/AP_Archive
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/APArchives
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/APNews/
You can license this story through AP Archive: http://www.aparchive.com/metadata/youtube/3c38e34c68cb404494467db7fcc21a3b
Author: AP Archive
Go to Source
News post in November 23, 2024, 3:04 pm.
Visit Our Sponsor’s:
News Post In – News
