‘Nobody won’ in French election and ‘parliamentary confusion’ follows, analyst says

(8 Jul 2024)
RESTRICTION SUMMARY:

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris, France – 7 July 2024
1. Various of people celebrating cheering and chanting, including zoom in and out

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris, France – 8 July 2024
2. SOUNDBITE (English) François Heisbourg, analyst on defense and security at the International Institute for Strategic Studies:
"With this election is that we know who lost. And that is the hard right. It did not get the absolute majority which it was craving. It did not get the relative majority, which most people were expecting it would get. But once you’ve said that, we don’t really know who may have won. Nobody won. So the situation is indeed, one of parliamentary confusion. There is a lesson here: they’re not, they’re not going to get into power under their own steam, the folks from the hard right. They’re going to have to think about coalitions and about watering down the worst parts of their programme. Mr. Mélenchon was probably just as surprised as everybody else by the unforeseen outcome of the elections. He’s right, to view it as an opportunity as far as he’s concerned, essentially to create a dynamic in which his uncomfortable partners within the left wing coalition would sort of be psychologically cowed into recognising his his primacy. We’ll see whether that works or not. President Macron cannot run again, although he has a number of potential successors there is no natural Macron after Macron. So the notion that you would have a fight between the two extremes, extreme left and extreme right, is one which, not only appeals to Macron, but may actually happen to emerge."

AP VIA AGENCY POOL (AFP)
Paris – 7 July 2024
3. Various of Marine Le Pen, president of the National Rally party surrounded by supporters

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris – 7 July 2024
4. Wide of leaders of the France Unbowed far-left party walking on to stage
5. France Unbowed leader, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, arriving on stage
6. Crowd cheering
7. Wide of leaders on stage
8. Close up of Mélenchon on big screen
9. Wide of leaders on stage

ASSOCIATED PRESS VIA AGENCY POOL (RTV)
Le Touquet, France – 7 July 2024
10. Various of French President Emmanuel Macron and First Lady Brigitte Macron emerge from voting station and speaking to assembled crowds
STORYLINE:
Without the majority they were expecting, the far right was the main loser of the French legislative elections according to a political analyst on Monday.

"The hard right didn’t get the absolute majority which it was craving. It didn’t get the relative majority, which most people were expecting it would get," said analyst on defense and security at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, François Heisbourg.

"But once you’ve said that, we don’t really know, who may have won. Nobody won. So the situation is, indeed, one of parliamentary confusion."

A coalition of the French left won the most seats in high-stakes legislative elections Sunday, beating back a far-right surge but failing to win a majority.

The outcome left France, a pillar of the European Union and Olympic host country, facing the stunning prospect of a hung parliament and political paralysis.

Macron gambled that his decision to call snap elections would give France a “moment of clarification,” but the outcome showed the opposite, less than three weeks before the start of the Paris Olympics, when the country will be under an international spotlight. 

Meanwhile, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the Far-left leader who has claimed victory in France’s latest elections, is a seasoned politician known for his powerful oratory and ambition.

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