Scientists warn CO2 still rising globally despite drops in US and Europe

(13 Nov 2024)
RESTRICTION SUMMARY:

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Baku, Azerbaijan – 12 November 2024
1. Various of attendees inside COP29 venue
2. Sign reading (English) "Sustainable Actions, Resilient Planet."
3. SOUNDBITE (English) Mike O’Sullivan, climate scientist from University of Exeter:
“Fossil fuel emissions have increased again in 2024, and we clearly are not doing enough on a global scale to reduce emissions. It’s as simple as that."
4. Various of O’Sullivan talking to study co-author Stephen Sitch
5. SOUNDBITE (English) Stephen Sitch, climate scientist:
"If we take today’s levels of emissions, we’ve got six years (to pass 1.5 degrees). So, you know, it’s massive cuts that we have to do. I mean, there are some good news stories here. So not all the countries are increasing emissions. So there’s the United States and Europe are decreasing emissions. There’s a roll-out of renewables in some countries. That has to accelerate. So, you know, although the general message is slightly gloomy, there are some positives there."
6. Security inside venue
7. SOUNDBITE (English) Mike O’Sullivan, climate scientist from University of Exeter:
"So coal is on the increase again. All fossil fuels actually increase in 2024 — gas and oil. So oil had a massive drop during COVID because of the lack of travel. And that’s been steadily increasing. And now it’s back to its pre-pandemic levels. And gas is kind of a steady increase. Gas is often just been replacing coal in a lot of places. And we saw a plateau when due to Russia invading Ukraine and the high gas prices. But now in 2024, we’ve had over 2% increase in gas again. So all fossil fuels are increasing."
8. Various of attendees inside venue
9. SOUNDBITE (English) Mike O’Sullivan, climate scientist from University of Exeter:
"I feel that we need to massively increase ambition and actually just think outside the box of how we can change things, not be so tied to fossil fuel interests. And just think about how we can really change the status quo, not just tinker here and there. We need rapid change on a scale that we’ve never seen before. And I feel like that message cannot be said enough."
10. Sign reading (English) "In Solidarity for a Green World"
STORYLINE:
Scientists at the United Nations climate talks in Azerbaijan say carbon pollution levels are continuing to rise worldwide, despite dropping in the US and Europe.

This year, the world is on track to put 41.2 billion tons (37.4 billion metric tons) of the main heat-trapping gas into the atmosphere.

That’s a 0.8% increase from 2023, according to Global Carbon Project, a group of scientists who track the world and countries’ carbon emissions.

The carbon pollution jump comes as several UN reports say the globe has to cut emissions by 42% by 2030 to possibly limit warming to an internationally agreed upon threshold.

This year’s pollution increase isn’t quite as large as last year’s 1.4% annual jump, the group of
scientists said as they presented their study at the talks in Azerbaijan.

But the world was "clearly… not doing enough on a global scale to reduce emissions", said
co-author Mike O’Sullivan, a University of Exeter climate scientist.

"We need to massively increase ambition and actually just think outside the box of how we can change things, not be so tied to fossil fuel interests," he added.

The world’s biggest polluters and strongest economies – China and the United States – aren’t sending their No. 1s to the talks in Baku, and neither are India and Indonesia.

That’s the world’s four most populous nations, with more than 42% of all the world’s people.

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