Analyst on French far-left leader and how election result can boost his chance in 2027 election

(8 Jul 2024)
RESTRICTIONS SUMMARY:

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris – 7 July 2024
1. Wide of leaders of the France Unbowed far-left party walking on to stage
2. France Unbowed leader, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, arriving on stage
3. Crowd cheering
4. Wide of leaders on stage

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris – 8 July 2024
5. Set up of François Heisbourg, defence and security analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies:
6. SOUNDBITE (English) François Heisbourg, defence and security analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies:
"That he clearly believes that he is the natural president of France and that this will emerge as he faces off against Marine Le Pen. President Macron cannot run again, and although he has a number of potential successors from his line of the ideological woods, if I can put it that way, there is no natural, Macron after Macron. And, so the notion that you would have a fight between the two extremes, extreme left and extreme right, is one which, not only appeals to Macron, but may actually happen to emerge."

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris – 7 July 2024
7. Close up of Mélenchon on big screen
8. Wide of leaders on stage
9. Wide of Mélenchon speaking

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris – 8 July 2024
10. SOUNDBITE (English) François Heisbourg, defence and security analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies:
"He was, he was probably just as surprised as everybody else by the unforeseen outcome of the elections. But he he saw only the opportunity part of the outcome, which for him is very great. He’s right to view it as an opportunity as far as he’s concerned, and he, and he took it and ran with it as hard, as hard as he could, essentially to create a dynamic in which his uncomfortable partners within the left wing coalition would sort of be psychologically cowed into recognizing his primacy. We’ll see whether that worked or not."

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris – 30 June 2024
11. Mélenchon preparing to cast ballot during vote
12. Mélenchon casting ballot

ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris – 8 July 2024
13. SOUNDBITE (English) François Heisbourg, defence and security analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies:
"I’m quite worried about the his ability to remain a key player, because when you have had a success and his own party has had a serious success, the so-called La France Insoumise (France Unbowed), when you’ve just had a success, it’s very difficult to argue with that success. And although many in his own party, in that extreme left party are uncomfortable with Mr Mélenchon – it’s not simply the moderates who are uncomfortable with him. It’s even the hardline guys (that) are uncomfortable, well, you know, this guy has proven to be a successful strategist during these elections."

AP VIA AGENCY POOL (REUTERS)
Paris – 7 July 2024
14. Various of Melenchon at podium and supporters applauding
STORYLINE:
Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the Far-left leader who has claimed victory in France’s latest elections, is a seasoned politician known for his powerful oratory and ambition.

A long-standing figure on the French left, Mélenchon first rose to prominence in the Socialist Party and as a senator.

But it was not until 2016, when he founded the hard-left La France Insoumise (France Unbowed) party, that his profile truly matched his political aspirations.

Mélenchon has called on French President Emmanuel Macron to step down or choose a new Prime Minister from the ranks of his New Popular Front alliance. Macron is two years into his second term and will be ineligible to run again in the next presidential elections in 2027.

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