(10 Jun 2024)
RESTRICTION SUMMARY:
ASSOCIATED PRESS
Paris, France – 10 June 2024
1. Set up shot of Dominique Moïsi, political analyst
2. SOUNDBITE (English) Dominique Moïsi, political analyst:
"I made myself a comparison, with Barack Obama. After his two mandates, Donald Trump came to power. It was for him a deep humiliation. And I think Macron does not want, after two mandates, to be faced with the same humiliation than Barack Obama. So he tries to take his destiny in the eyes of history in his hands, and for that makes a huge bet. I’m going to dissolve the National Assembly. The National Front will come to power and the French will realize how incompetent how ideological, how dangerous they are. I think that may be his strategy."
++BLACK FRAMES++
3. SOUNDBITE (English) Dominique Moïsi, political analyst:
"The French are not voting for their representative in the European Parliament, or even for their representative in the National Assembly. They are voting to say no to Macron, and that might very well be a majority, a relative majority of hard right at the National Assembly and a strong extreme left, constituency. The risks he is taking are huge."
++BLACK FRAMES++
4. SOUNDBITE (English) Dominique Moïsi, political analyst:
"It’s less what he did, than the perception of what he is, i.e. an arrogant, narcissistic person. He is the incarnation of the distant elite in the eyes of many Frenchmen."
++BLACK FRAMES++
5. SOUNDBITE (English) Dominique Moïsi, political analyst:
"In fact, there is a certain, parallelism, that exists between Trump in America and, Marine Le Pen, in France. The, depths of the anti-elitist movement in the present. And what is fascinating is that young people in France are seduced by that argument. Like in Germany or like in Italy, young people have moved from concern for the survival of the planet, Greta Thunberg, the Greens, to concern for the identity of their country."
++ENDS ON SOUNDBITE++
STORYLINE:
A four-day election has shaken the foundations of the European Union, with the far right rocking ruling parties in France and Germany, the bloc’s traditional driving forces.
For the next five years it will be harder for the European Parliament to make decisions.
French President Emmanuel Macron called snap national elections after Marine Le Pen’s National Rally humbled his pro-European centrists in the polls.
For the political analyst Dominique Moïsi, the French President is taking a risky bet.
"I made myself a comparison, with Barack Obama," Moïsi said.
"After his two mandates, Donald Trump came to power. It was for him a deep humiliation. And I think Macron does not want, after two mandates, to be faced with the same humiliation than Barack Obama. So he tries to take his destiny in the eyes of history in his hands, and for that makes a huge bet. I’m going to dissolve the National Assembly. The National Front will come to power and the French will realize how incompetent how idealogical how dangerous they are. I think that may be his strategy."
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats also suffered as the extreme-right Alternative for Germany shrugged off scandals to make massive gains.
In Italy, the party of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, which has neo-fascist roots, won more than 28% of the national vote for the EU assembly, which would make it a key player in forming future alliances.
Green and pro-business liberal groups across Europe suffered heavy defeats, but mainstream formations held their ground, with the center-right European People’s Party remaining the biggest bloc in the 27-nation EU’s assembly.
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